Cnn’s Data Guru Says Trump’s Approval Rating Is ‘as Low As Death Valley’

CNN's main information expert Harry Enten said President Donald Trump’s approval rating had fallen into "Death Valley" and warned that nan commander-in-chief is truthful unpopular it mightiness wounded a imaginable 2028 statesmanlike tally by Vice President JD Vance.

On Tuesday morning, Enten discussed Trump's support ratings, claiming they had fallen "into nan abyss" and show "no motion of rising."

"He's now astatine a word 2 low: -18 pts," Enten wrote connected X. "Big logic why: Independents. Trump's astatine -45 pts. The worst for immoderate prez astatine this constituent successful word 2. Worse than Nixon (-36 pts) astatine nan tallness of Watergate!"

Enten said that Trump's cratering support among voters is not only nan consequence of his unpopular warfare successful Iran, but a "slew of events" that person "continuously" dragged his fame little and lower.

“He was astatine positive six points [in January], past minus 3 points a twelvemonth agone [in April], minus 7 points 9 months ago, minus 10 points successful October 2025. January 2026, -13 points. And now each nan measurement down to -18 points. A word 2 low," he said.

Enten added that moreover if Trump ended nan warfare successful Iran tomorrow, he mightiness spot a insignificant bump, but he does not judge it would boost him overmuch further.

The expert past compared Trump's existent abysmal support standing to nan aforesaid constituent during his first term.

“In word one, he was really rising astatine this point. He was really going up,” he said. “His three-month alteration was up by 5 points. Now we’re talking astir a three-month alteration successful which he has fallen to a caller word 2 low, successful which he’s astatine -18 points. In word one, astatine this point, he was really higher.”

Trump's nett support pinch independent voters is besides highly low, moreover erstwhile compared to particularly unpopular modern presidents. Enten said Trump's nett support standing pinch independent voters astatine this clip successful his 2nd word is -45 and compared it to 2 erstwhile presidents — Richard Nixon and George W. Bush. He said Nixon, astatine nan aforesaid clip successful his 2nd word and astatine nan tallness of nan Watergate scandal, had a -36, and Bush — mired successful nan complications of nan Iraq War — had a -37.

He continued, saying that Trump was "now 6 points lower" than he was astatine nan aforesaid constituent successful his first term.

CNN's John Berman past changed nan taxable from Trump's cratering ratings to really his ratings are affecting "those adjacent to him" and what "collateral damage" they mightiness beryllium causing.

Enten, citing Kalshi prediction marketplace bets, said that six months ago, 53 percent of prediction marketplace users thought Vance would beryllium president successful 2028. That percent has dropped to 37 percent today.

"According to nan Kalshi prediction market, this is tied for [Vance's] each clip low," Enten said.

Going backmost to Trump, Enten described Trump's existent support standing pinch 2 words: "Death Valley."